{"id":3231,"date":"2011-11-25T16:34:28","date_gmt":"2011-11-25T22:34:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/?p=3231"},"modified":"2011-12-01T23:19:40","modified_gmt":"2011-12-02T05:19:40","slug":"3231","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/?p=3231","title":{"rendered":"A Whole Lot of Shaking Going On:  The New Madrid Seismic Zone"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The following article was written in response to the increased earthquake activity in the Midwest, including many parts of the New Madrid Seismic Zone.\u00a0 Oklahoma, especially, has been hard hit and continues to shake, causing many to question whether the New Madrid Fault is re-awakening or if something else, like fracking, may be causing the heavy earthquake activity.<\/p>\n<p>The 200th anniversary of the New Madrid earthquakes is only a few  weeks away, and experts warn that we may be overdue for another large  earthquake in that region.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 310px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcnlive.com\/assets\/newsImages\/wpImages\/NewMadridEarthquake.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" \/>A depiction of the Mississipi River after the New Madrid earthquakes<\/div>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/earthquakes\/states\/events\/1811-1812.php\">New Madrid earthquakes<\/a> occurred between December 16, 1811 and February 2, 1812.  Those  earthquakes rank as some of the largest in U.S. history, and are the  largest east of the Rocky Mountains.  For comparison, the area of strong  seismic shaking during the New Madrid earthquakes was 2-3 times that of  the 1964 Alaska earthquake and 10 times that of the 1906 San Francisco  earthquake.<\/p>\n<p>On <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/earthquakes\/states\/events\/1811-1812.php\">December 16, 1811<\/a>,  the first of several very powerful earthquakes occurred, a magnitude  7.7 in northeast Arkansas.  Five weeks later, on January 23, 1812, a  magnitude 7.5 quake struck the New Madrid, Missouri, area.  Then, on  February 7, 1812, a magnitude 7.7 unleashed its power along the Reelfoot  Fault from New Madrid, Missouri, into Tennessee.  Reports from  eyewitnesses described the ground surface as being \u201cin great convulsion  with sand and water ejected tens of feet into the air\u201d (liquefaction).   Motion from that quake created <a href=\"http:\/\/showme.net\/%7Efkeller\/quake\/mississippi_river_ran_backward.htm\">waterfalls on the Mississippi River<\/a>, causing the river to \u201crun backwards\u201d for several hours, and created Reelfoot Lake in Tennessee.<\/p>\n<p>Additional strong quakes (magnitude 6.0 and above) also occurred  between December 1811 and February 1812, and aftershocks continued for  years.<\/p>\n<p>The region most affected extended from Cairo, Illinois, to Memphis,  Tennessee, but the quakes were also felt over the entire eastern U.S.,  including New York City, Boston, Washington, D.C., and Charleston, South  Carolina.  Damage was reported as far away as Charleston and  Washington.  President James Madison, in a letter to Thomas Jefferson  dated February 7, 1812, makes <a href=\"http:\/\/newmadrid200.blogspot.com\/2010\/07\/earthquake-in-washington.html\">mention of the earthquake<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>According to the Central United States Earthquake Consortium, \u201cThe  geology in the central U.S. is particularly vulnerable to earthquake  shaking, and potential damage is more widespread than other  earthquake-prone areas of the United States.\u201d  Although major  earthquakes appear less frequently in this area of the country, when  they do occur, damage is more widespread and felt much farther than in  quakes associated along the western coast of the U.S., for example.<\/p>\n<div style=\"float:right;\">\n<div style=\"width: 285px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.lewrockwell.com\/rep\/New-Madrid-Fault-Earthquake-Zone.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"275\" \/>The New Madrid fault earthquake zone<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/New_Madrid_Seismic_Zone\">New Madrid seismic zone<\/a> lies directly above an ancient failed rift known as the Reelfoot Rift,  which is considered to be mechanically weaker than the rest of North  America.  <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/earthquakes\/states\/events\/1811-1812.php\">Geologic records<\/a> reveal that the New Madrid Seismic Zone has repeatedly produced  sequences of major earthquakes, including several of magnitude 7.0-8.0,  over the past 4,500 years; while rocks in the rift area reveal a pattern  of violent Midwestern earthquakes stretching back at least 15,000  years.<\/p>\n<p>Predicting future quake activity in this region is difficult.   According to Seth Stein, a geophysicist at Northwestern University in  Evanston, Illinois, \u201cOne fault system might generate a cluster of quakes  over a period of a few years, but then it delivers a diminishing set of  aftershocks for centuries while stress migrates to a new fault system.\u201d   Perhaps that explains what is happening in Oklahoma, which some  studies indicate sits squarely in the area of the country most  susceptible to this type of seismic activity.<\/p>\n<p>On November 5, 2011, Oklahoma experienced its strongest earthquake  ever, a 5.6-magnitude quake.  Oklahoma normally experiences about 50  earthquakes per year, but since mid-2009 the state has experienced ten  times more earthquakes than normal.  In 2010 there were 1,047 quakes,  and 2011 continues to be \u201cearth shaking.\u201d Some blame fracking (<a href=\"..\/?p=2635\">see related article about fracking<\/a>), but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.csmonitor.com\/Environment\/2011\/1108\/Earthquakes-in-Oklahoma-Is-fracking-to-blame-or-something-else\">research<\/a> indicates the quakes are too big for fracking to be the cause.<\/p>\n<p>The New Madrid Fault averages about 150 quakes per year, with most  being less than M3.0.  According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the  region can expect \u201ca magnitude 6.0 quake every 100 years, and larger  quakes, such as those experienced in 1811-1812, can be expected about  every 500 years.  However, there is a 10% chance of a \u2018big one\u2019  happening in any 50-year period, which means there is a 7-10% chance of a  repeat of the 1811-1812 quakes anytime in the next 50 years, with a  25-40% probability of the quake being M6.0 or greater.\u201d  The Central  United States Earthquake Consortium also warns that the probability for a  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cusec.org\/earthquake-information\/new-madrid-seismic-zone.html\">moderate earthquake to occur in the NMSZ<\/a> in the near future is \u201chigh.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Considering this region is home to millions of people and includes  the cities of St. Louis, Missouri, and Memphis, Tennessee, a major  earthquake could result in widespread, catastrophic damage with large  numbers of fatalities across numerous states.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cbsminnesota.files.wordpress.com\/2011\/11\/oklahoma-earthquake.jpg?w=300\" alt=\"\" width=\"275\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In response, many states within the New Madrid Seismic Zone have been  conducting earthquake preparedness drills.  Just this week (November  15-17), <a href=\"http:\/\/www.carmitimes.com\/state_news\/x1739511186\/Earthquake-exercise-Tuesday-to-test-preparedness\">southern Illinois<\/a> conducted a 3-day earthquake drill.  Three million people took part in  an 11-state earthquake drill held in late April called the \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/shakeout.org\/centralus\/\">Great Central U.S. Shakeout<\/a>.\u201d  That drill was the largest of its kind in the region, and will be conducted again in February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>The New Madrid Seismic Zone is at significant risk for damaging  earthquakes, and experts warn we may be overdue.  Should a catastrophic  earthquake occur in the New Madrid Seismic Zone, it will be a national  problem, and all of us should be prepared.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"margin:5px;\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The following article was written in response to the increased earthquake activity in the Midwest, including many parts of the New Madrid Seismic Zone.\u00a0 Oklahoma, especially, has been hard hit and continues to shake, causing many to question whether the New Madrid Fault is re-awakening or if something else, like fracking, may be causing the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-3231","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-articles","7":"entry"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3231"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3231\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3313,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3231\/revisions\/3313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/barbadamslive.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}